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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

15:30

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Den Bosch Win

35%

MVV

2.88

27%

Draw

3.69

38%

Den Bosch

2.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

MVV xG

Total xG

2.75

1.41

Den Bosch xG

35%
27%
38%
MVVDrawDen Bosch

2.88

35%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

2.62

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

24%

MVV

4.10

26%

Den Bosch

3.81

Win to Nil

8%

MVV

11.81

10%

Den Bosch

9.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 9.0 6.4 3.0 1.1 0.3
1 8.6 12.1 8.5 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.7 8.1 5.7 2.7 0.9 0.3
3 2.5 3.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.337
λ Away (xG) 1.412
Total xG 2.749
League avg home goals 1.540
League avg away goals 1.371
MVV attack strength 1.141
MVV defence strength 0.981
Den Bosch attack strength 1.050
Den Bosch defence strength 0.761
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 58