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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 27 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

33%

MVV

2.99

27%

Draw

3.74

40%

De Graafschap

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

MVV xG

Total xG

2.86

1.50

De Graafschap xG

33%
27%
40%
MVVDrawDe Graafschap

2.99

33%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

22%

MVV

4.49

26%

De Graafschap

3.90

Win to Nil

7%

MVV

13.42

10%

De Graafschap

9.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 8.6 6.4 3.2 1.2 0.4
1 7.8 11.7 8.8 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 5.3 7.9 6.0 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 2.4 3.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.360
λ Away (xG) 1.501
Total xG 2.861
League avg home goals 1.660
League avg away goals 1.455
MVV attack strength 0.937
MVV defence strength 0.981
De Graafschap attack strength 1.051
De Graafschap defence strength 0.874
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66