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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 12 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

39%

MVV

2.56

28%

Draw

3.58

33%

Cambuur

3.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

MVV xG

Total xG

2.35

1.11

Cambuur xG

39%
28%
33%
MVVDrawCambuur

2.56

39%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

3.03

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

33%

MVV

3.04

29%

Cambuur

3.45

Win to Nil

13%

MVV

7.79

10%

Cambuur

10.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 10.6 5.9 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 11.8 13.1 7.3 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.3 8.1 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.0 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.238
λ Away (xG) 1.113
Total xG 2.351
League avg home goals 1.655
League avg away goals 1.221
MVV attack strength 0.930
MVV defence strength 0.957
Cambuur attack strength 0.953
Cambuur defence strength 0.804
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 43