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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

15:45

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

49%

MVV

2.03

24%

Draw

4.25

27%

ADO Den Haag

3.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

MVV xG

Total xG

3.18

1.33

ADO Den Haag xG

49%
24%
27%
MVVDrawADO Den Haag

2.03

49%

Home win

4.25

24%

Draw

3.67

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

26%

MVV

3.79

16%

ADO Den Haag

6.35

Win to Nil

13%

MVV

7.70

4%

ADO Den Haag

23.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 5.5 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 7.7 10.2 6.8 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.5 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 4.4 5.8 3.9 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 2.0 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.849
λ Away (xG) 1.332
Total xG 3.181
League avg home goals 1.637
League avg away goals 1.287
MVV attack strength 1.356
MVV defence strength 0.871
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.188
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.833
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64