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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 27 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Utrecht Win

47%

Jong Utrecht

2.13

21%

Draw

4.80

32%

Almere City FC

3.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 2

7.2%

Draw

1 – 1

6.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.31

Jong Utrecht xG

Total xG

4.21

1.91

Almere City FC xG

47%
21%
32%
Jong UtrechtDrawAlmere City FC

2.13

47%

Home win

4.80

21%

Draw

3.11

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

79%

Over 2.5

1.27

21%

Under 2.5

4.76

61%

Over 3.5

1.64

39%

Under 3.5

2.56

41%

Over 4.5

2.44

59%

Under 4.5

1.69

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

77%

BTTS Yes

1.30

23%

BTTS No

4.39

Clean Sheet

15%

Jong Utrecht

6.75

10%

Almere City FC

10.02

Win to Nil

7%

Jong Utrecht

14.35

3%

Almere City FC

31.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5 2.8 2.7 1.7 0.8 0.3
1 3.4 6.5 6.2 4.0 1.9 0.7
2 3.9 7.5 7.2 4.6 2.2 0.8
3 3.0 5.8 5.5 3.5 1.7 0.6
4 1.7 3.3 3.2 2.0 1.0 0.4
5 0.8 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.305
λ Away (xG) 1.909
Total xG 4.214
League avg home goals 1.660
League avg away goals 1.455
Jong Utrecht attack strength 1.109
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.197
Almere City FC attack strength 1.095
Almere City FC defence strength 1.252
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 27