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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Mon 1 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

De Herdgang

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong PSV U21 Win

39%

Jong PSV U21

2.54

24%

Draw

4.12

36%

Waalwijk

2.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Jong PSV U21 xG

Total xG

3.12

1.53

Waalwijk xG

39%
24%
36%
Jong PSV U21DrawWaalwijk

2.54

39%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.75

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

22%

Jong PSV U21

4.60

20%

Waalwijk

4.94

Win to Nil

9%

Jong PSV U21

11.68

7%

Waalwijk

13.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 6.7 5.1 2.6 1.0 0.3
1 7.0 10.7 8.2 4.2 1.6 0.5
2 5.6 8.6 6.5 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 3.0 4.6 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.598
λ Away (xG) 1.527
Total xG 3.125
League avg home goals 1.693
League avg away goals 1.451
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 1.012
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.120
Waalwijk attack strength 0.939
Waalwijk defence strength 0.933
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 17