Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Mon 11 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

De Herdgang

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong PSV U21 Win

43%

Jong PSV U21

2.31

23%

Draw

4.32

34%

Emmen

2.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Jong PSV U21 xG

Total xG

3.22

1.50

Emmen xG

43%
23%
34%
Jong PSV U21DrawEmmen

2.31

43%

Home win

4.32

23%

Draw

2.98

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.76

Clean Sheet

22%

Jong PSV U21

4.47

18%

Emmen

5.62

Win to Nil

10%

Jong PSV U21

10.32

6%

Emmen

16.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 6.0 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 6.9 10.3 7.7 3.8 1.4 0.4
2 5.9 8.9 6.6 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.4 5.1 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 2.2 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.727
λ Away (xG) 1.497
Total xG 3.224
League avg home goals 1.858
League avg away goals 1.221
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 0.992
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.272
Emmen attack strength 0.963
Emmen defence strength 0.937
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38