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Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Mon 10 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

PSV Campus De Herdgang

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cambuur Win

20%

Jong PSV U21

4.98

18%

Draw

5.43

62%

Cambuur

1.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 3

7.3%

Away win

1 – 1

6.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Jong PSV U21 xG

Total xG

4.07

2.60

Cambuur xG

20%
18%
62%
Jong PSV U21DrawCambuur

4.98

20%

Home win

5.43

18%

Draw

1.63

62%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

77%

Over 2.5

1.30

23%

Under 2.5

4.35

58%

Over 3.5

1.72

42%

Under 3.5

2.38

38%

Over 4.5

2.63

62%

Under 4.5

1.61

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.40

28%

BTTS No

3.51

Clean Sheet

7%

Jong PSV U21

13.41

23%

Cambuur

4.35

Win to Nil

1%

Jong PSV U21

66.75

14%

Cambuur

7.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7 4.4 5.8 5.0 3.2 1.7
1 2.5 6.5 8.5 7.3 4.8 2.5
2 1.9 4.8 6.2 5.4 3.5 1.8
3 0.9 2.4 3.1 2.6 1.7 0.9
4 0.3 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3
5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.471
λ Away (xG) 2.596
Total xG 4.067
League avg home goals 1.662
League avg away goals 1.274
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 1.084
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.561
Cambuur attack strength 1.305
Cambuur defence strength 0.816
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62