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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Mon 20 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Willem II Win

37%

Jong AZ

2.70

22%

Draw

4.51

41%

Willem II

2.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

2 – 1

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.53

1.81

Willem II xG

37%
22%
41%
Jong AZDrawWillem II

2.70

37%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

2.45

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.46

31%

BTTS No

3.19

Clean Sheet

16%

Jong AZ

6.10

18%

Willem II

5.57

Win to Nil

6%

Jong AZ

16.44

7%

Willem II

13.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 5.3 4.8 2.9 1.3 0.5
1 5.1 9.1 8.3 5.0 2.3 0.8
2 4.3 7.9 7.1 4.3 1.9 0.7
3 2.5 4.5 4.1 2.4 1.1 0.4
4 1.1 1.9 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.718
λ Away (xG) 1.808
Total xG 3.526
League avg home goals 1.825
League avg away goals 1.379
Jong AZ attack strength 0.931
Jong AZ defence strength 1.205
Willem II attack strength 1.088
Willem II defence strength 1.011
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 11