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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 12 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

40%

Jong AZ

2.51

24%

Draw

4.12

36%

Vitesse

2.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.00

1.46

Vitesse xG

40%
24%
36%
Jong AZDrawVitesse

2.51

40%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.79

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

23%

Jong AZ

4.29

21%

Vitesse

4.70

Win to Nil

9%

Jong AZ

10.75

8%

Vitesse

13.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 7.2 5.3 2.6 0.9 0.3
1 7.7 11.2 8.1 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 5.9 8.7 6.3 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.1 4.5 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.548
λ Away (xG) 1.456
Total xG 3.004
League avg home goals 1.655
League avg away goals 1.221
Jong AZ attack strength 0.892
Jong AZ defence strength 1.153
Vitesse attack strength 1.035
Vitesse defence strength 1.049
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 38