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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Mon 3 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

55%

Jong AZ

1.82

22%

Draw

4.48

23%

Telstar

4.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

2 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.03

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.29

1.25

Telstar xG

55%
22%
23%
Jong AZDrawTelstar

1.82

55%

Home win

4.48

22%

Draw

4.38

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

29%

Jong AZ

3.51

13%

Telstar

7.63

Win to Nil

16%

Jong AZ

6.39

3%

Telstar

33.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 4.7 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 7.6 9.5 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.7 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.2 6.6 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.7 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.032
λ Away (xG) 1.255
Total xG 3.287
League avg home goals 1.650
League avg away goals 1.286
Jong AZ attack strength 1.174
Jong AZ defence strength 1.142
Telstar attack strength 0.855
Telstar defence strength 1.048
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 65