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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Mon 16 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

48%

Jong AZ

2.07

23%

Draw

4.40

29%

MVV

3.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 2

6.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.42

1.47

MVV xG

48%
23%
29%
Jong AZDrawMVV

2.07

48%

Home win

4.40

23%

Draw

3.46

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.98

Clean Sheet

23%

Jong AZ

4.35

14%

MVV

6.99

Win to Nil

11%

Jong AZ

9.00

4%

MVV

24.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 4.8 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 6.4 9.4 6.9 3.4 1.2 0.4
2 6.2 9.1 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 4.0 5.9 4.4 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 2.0 2.9 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.945
λ Away (xG) 1.471
Total xG 3.416
League avg home goals 1.597
League avg away goals 1.471
Jong AZ attack strength 0.935
Jong AZ defence strength 1.449
MVV attack strength 0.690
MVV defence strength 1.303
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69