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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Mon 14 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Volendam Win

33%

Jong AZ

3.05

22%

Draw

4.47

45%

FC Volendam

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

2 – 1

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.52

1.91

FC Volendam xG

33%
22%
45%
Jong AZDrawFC Volendam

3.05

33%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.46

32%

BTTS No

3.16

Clean Sheet

15%

Jong AZ

6.73

20%

FC Volendam

5.02

Win to Nil

5%

Jong AZ

20.50

9%

FC Volendam

11.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 5.6 5.4 3.4 1.6 0.6
1 4.8 9.1 8.7 5.5 2.6 1.0
2 3.9 7.3 7.0 4.5 2.1 0.8
3 2.1 3.9 3.8 2.4 1.1 0.4
4 0.8 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.613
λ Away (xG) 1.907
Total xG 3.520
League avg home goals 1.674
League avg away goals 1.247
Jong AZ attack strength 1.142
Jong AZ defence strength 1.245
FC Volendam attack strength 1.228
FC Volendam defence strength 0.844
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 33