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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Excelsior Win
30%
3.36
24%
4.09
46%
2.18
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.3%
Away win
0 – 1
8.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.32
Jong AZ xG
Total xG
3.02
1.69
Excelsior xG
Jong AZDrawExcelsior
3.36
30%
Home win
4.09
24%
Draw
2.18
46%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
60%
BTTS Yes
1.66
40%
BTTS No
2.51
Clean Sheet
18%
5.42
27%
3.76
Win to Nil
5%
18.23
12%
8.21
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 8.3 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 6.5 | 11.0 | 9.3 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.3 | 7.3 | 6.1 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.324
λ Away (xG)
1.691
Total xG
3.015
League avg home goals
1.695
League avg away goals
1.250
Jong AZ attack strength
0.928
Jong AZ defence strength
1.060
Excelsior attack strength
1.277
Excelsior defence strength
0.842
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
75 / 37