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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Mon 23 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Den Bosch Win

35%

Jong AZ

2.88

23%

Draw

4.29

42%

Den Bosch

2.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

2 – 1

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.52

1.85

Den Bosch xG

35%
23%
42%
Jong AZDrawDen Bosch

2.88

35%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

2.38

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.23

Clean Sheet

16%

Jong AZ

6.37

19%

Den Bosch

5.33

Win to Nil

5%

Jong AZ

18.34

8%

Den Bosch

12.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 5.5 5.1 3.1 1.4 0.5
1 4.9 9.1 8.4 5.2 2.4 0.9
2 4.1 7.6 7.1 4.4 2.0 0.7
3 2.3 4.3 3.9 2.4 1.1 0.4
4 1.0 1.8 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.673
λ Away (xG) 1.851
Total xG 3.524
League avg home goals 1.688
League avg away goals 1.470
Jong AZ attack strength 0.852
Jong AZ defence strength 1.382
Den Bosch attack strength 0.911
Den Bosch defence strength 1.163
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65