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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Mon 28 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

48%

Jong AZ

2.06

24%

Draw

4.15

28%

Den Bosch

3.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.24

1.37

Den Bosch xG

48%
24%
28%
Jong AZDrawDen Bosch

2.06

48%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

3.64

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.76

Clean Sheet

25%

Jong AZ

3.93

15%

Den Bosch

6.46

Win to Nil

12%

Jong AZ

8.12

4%

Den Bosch

23.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 5.4 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 7.3 10.1 6.9 3.1 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.4 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.3 5.8 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 2.0 2.7 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.866
λ Away (xG) 1.369
Total xG 3.235
League avg home goals 1.679
League avg away goals 1.255
Jong AZ attack strength 1.041
Jong AZ defence strength 1.159
Den Bosch attack strength 0.941
Den Bosch defence strength 1.067
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73