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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 26 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

33%

Jong AZ

3.06

24%

Draw

4.22

44%

Almere City FC

2.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.29

1.77

Almere City FC xG

33%
24%
44%
Jong AZDrawAlmere City FC

3.06

33%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

2.29

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.87

Clean Sheet

17%

Jong AZ

5.88

22%

Almere City FC

4.54

Win to Nil

6%

Jong AZ

17.97

10%

Almere City FC

10.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 6.6 5.9 3.5 1.5 0.5
1 5.7 10.0 8.9 5.3 2.3 0.8
2 4.3 7.6 6.7 4.0 1.8 0.6
3 2.2 3.8 3.4 2.0 0.9 0.3
4 0.8 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.514
λ Away (xG) 1.772
Total xG 3.286
League avg home goals 1.760
League avg away goals 1.568
Jong AZ attack strength 0.752
Jong AZ defence strength 1.196
Almere City FC attack strength 0.945
Almere City FC defence strength 1.144
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 22