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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

28%

Jong AZ

3.55

22%

Draw

4.46

49%

ADO Den Haag

2.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

0 – 1

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.27

1.89

ADO Den Haag xG

28%
22%
49%
Jong AZDrawADO Den Haag

3.55

28%

Home win

4.46

22%

Draw

2.02

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.74

Clean Sheet

15%

Jong AZ

6.61

25%

ADO Den Haag

3.97

Win to Nil

4%

Jong AZ

23.48

12%

ADO Den Haag

8.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 7.2 6.8 4.3 2.0 0.8
1 5.3 9.9 9.4 5.9 2.8 1.1
2 3.6 6.8 6.5 4.1 1.9 0.7
3 1.7 3.1 3.0 1.9 0.9 0.3
4 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.380
λ Away (xG) 1.888
Total xG 3.268
League avg home goals 1.733
League avg away goals 1.392
Jong AZ attack strength 1.020
Jong AZ defence strength 1.059
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.280
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.781
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 46