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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Mon 22 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

41%

Jong Ajax

2.44

26%

Draw

3.86

33%

Waalwijk

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.68

1.26

Waalwijk xG

41%
26%
33%
Jong AjaxDrawWaalwijk

2.44

41%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

28%

Jong Ajax

3.51

24%

Waalwijk

4.16

Win to Nil

12%

Jong Ajax

8.57

8%

Waalwijk

12.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 8.6 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.8 12.3 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 8.7 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.3 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.426
λ Away (xG) 1.256
Total xG 2.682
League avg home goals 1.756
League avg away goals 1.511
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.794
Jong Ajax defence strength 0.986
Waalwijk attack strength 0.843
Waalwijk defence strength 1.022
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 20