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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

53%

Jong Ajax

1.89

22%

Draw

4.51

25%

VVV Venlo

4.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

3.19

1.26

VVV Venlo xG

53%
22%
25%
Jong AjaxDrawVVV Venlo

1.89

53%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

4.01

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.58

Clean Sheet

28%

Jong Ajax

3.54

15%

VVV Venlo

6.87

Win to Nil

15%

Jong Ajax

6.69

4%

VVV Venlo

27.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 5.2 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 7.9 10.0 6.3 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 9.7 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.9 6.2 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.4 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.927
λ Away (xG) 1.263
Total xG 3.190
League avg home goals 1.719
League avg away goals 1.331
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.930
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.007
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.943
VVV Venlo defence strength 1.205
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45