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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Mon 19 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Roda Win

26%

Jong Ajax

3.78

26%

Draw

3.92

48%

Roda

2.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.76

1.62

Roda xG

26%
26%
48%
Jong AjaxDrawRoda

3.78

26%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

2.08

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

20%

Jong Ajax

5.04

32%

Roda

3.13

Win to Nil

5%

Jong Ajax

19.03

15%

Roda

6.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 10.3 8.3 4.5 1.8 0.6
1 7.2 11.7 9.5 5.1 2.1 0.7
2 4.1 6.7 5.4 2.9 1.2 0.4
3 1.6 2.5 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.141
λ Away (xG) 1.617
Total xG 2.758
League avg home goals 1.708
League avg away goals 1.528
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.746
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.033
Roda attack strength 1.024
Roda defence strength 0.896
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 59