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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Mon 23 Dec 2024

19:00

Venue

Sportpark De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

41%

Jong Ajax

2.45

33%

Draw

3.01

26%

Roda

3.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.14

0.92

Roda xG

41%
33%
26%
Jong AjaxDrawRoda

2.45

41%

Home win

3.01

33%

Draw

3.86

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

40%

Jong Ajax

2.51

30%

Roda

3.38

Win to Nil

16%

Jong Ajax

6.15

8%

Roda

13.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 10.9 5.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 14.3 13.2 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 8.7 8.0 3.7 1.1 0.3
3 3.5 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.217
λ Away (xG) 0.922
Total xG 2.139
League avg home goals 1.555
League avg away goals 1.403
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.752
Jong Ajax defence strength 0.684
Roda attack strength 0.960
Roda defence strength 1.040
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57