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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 24 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

44%

Jong Ajax

2.26

25%

Draw

3.93

30%

Jong Utrecht

3.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.71

1.20

Jong Utrecht xG

44%
25%
30%
Jong AjaxDrawJong Utrecht

2.26

44%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

3.31

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

30%

Jong Ajax

3.32

22%

Jong Utrecht

4.51

Win to Nil

13%

Jong Ajax

7.48

7%

Jong Utrecht

14.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.0 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 10.1 12.1 7.2 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.1 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.8 4.6 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.506
λ Away (xG) 1.199
Total xG 2.705
League avg home goals 1.641
League avg away goals 1.448
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.976
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.103
Jong Utrecht attack strength 0.750
Jong Utrecht defence strength 0.940
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75