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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Fri 17 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong PSV U21 Win

34%

Jong Ajax

2.95

20%

Draw

4.97

46%

Jong PSV U21

2.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

7.6%

Away win

Most likely

2 – 2

7.2%

Draw

1 – 1

6.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

4.13

2.23

Jong PSV U21 xG

34%
20%
46%
Jong AjaxDrawJong PSV U21

2.95

34%

Home win

4.97

20%

Draw

2.17

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

78%

Over 2.5

1.28

22%

Under 2.5

4.55

59%

Over 3.5

1.69

41%

Under 3.5

2.44

40%

Over 4.5

2.50

60%

Under 4.5

1.67

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

76%

BTTS Yes

1.32

24%

BTTS No

4.15

Clean Sheet

11%

Jong Ajax

9.25

15%

Jong PSV U21

6.73

Win to Nil

4%

Jong Ajax

27.31

7%

Jong PSV U21

14.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6 3.6 4.0 2.9 1.6 0.7
1 3.1 6.8 7.6 5.6 3.1 1.4
2 2.9 6.5 7.2 5.4 3.0 1.3
3 1.9 4.1 4.6 3.4 1.9 0.8
4 0.9 2.0 2.2 1.6 0.9 0.4
5 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.906
λ Away (xG) 2.225
Total xG 4.131
League avg home goals 1.759
League avg away goals 1.403
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.988
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.206
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 1.315
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.097
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48