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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Mon 20 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportpark De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

45%

Jong Ajax

2.22

31%

Draw

3.19

24%

Jong PSV U21

4.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.06

0.82

Jong PSV U21 xG

45%
31%
24%
Jong AjaxDrawJong PSV U21

2.22

45%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

4.22

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.44

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

44%

Jong Ajax

2.28

29%

Jong PSV U21

3.46

Win to Nil

20%

Jong Ajax

5.07

7%

Jong PSV U21

14.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.7 10.5 4.3 1.2 0.2
1 15.7 13.0 5.4 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 9.7 8.0 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 4.0 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.240
λ Away (xG) 0.825
Total xG 2.065
League avg home goals 1.565
League avg away goals 1.358
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.889
Jong Ajax defence strength 0.730
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 0.832
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 0.891
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59