Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Mon 15 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

38%

Jong Ajax

2.63

27%

Draw

3.73

35%

ADO Den Haag

2.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.53

1.23

ADO Den Haag xG

38%
27%
35%
Jong AjaxDrawADO Den Haag

2.63

38%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

2.84

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

29%

Jong Ajax

3.43

27%

ADO Den Haag

3.64

Win to Nil

11%

Jong Ajax

9.05

10%

ADO Den Haag

10.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 9.9 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.3 12.7 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.7 8.2 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 2.9 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.293
λ Away (xG) 1.234
Total xG 2.527
League avg home goals 1.687
League avg away goals 1.249
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.948
Jong Ajax defence strength 0.848
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.166
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.808
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 42