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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 21 Dec 2025

13:30

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

44%

Helmond Sport

2.29

22%

Draw

4.47

34%

Willem II

2.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

3.45

1.61

Willem II xG

44%
22%
34%
Helmond SportDrawWillem II

2.29

44%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

2.95

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.48

33%

BTTS No

3.07

Clean Sheet

20%

Helmond Sport

4.99

16%

Willem II

6.33

Win to Nil

9%

Helmond Sport

11.43

5%

Willem II

18.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 5.1 4.1 2.2 0.9 0.3
1 5.8 9.4 7.5 4.0 1.6 0.5
2 5.4 8.7 7.0 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 3.3 5.3 4.3 2.3 0.9 0.3
4 1.5 2.5 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.845
λ Away (xG) 1.608
Total xG 3.453
League avg home goals 1.755
League avg away goals 1.508
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.984
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.195
Willem II attack strength 0.892
Willem II defence strength 1.068
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 20