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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 10 Aug 2025

11:15

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

51%

Helmond Sport

1.98

23%

Draw

4.36

27%

Roda

3.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

3.09

1.26

Roda xG

51%
23%
27%
Helmond SportDrawRoda

1.98

51%

Home win

4.36

23%

Draw

3.77

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

28%

Helmond Sport

3.54

16%

Roda

6.20

Win to Nil

14%

Helmond Sport

7.00

4%

Roda

23.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 5.8 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 8.3 10.5 6.6 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.6 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.6 5.8 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.1 2.7 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.824
λ Away (xG) 1.264
Total xG 3.088
League avg home goals 1.824
League avg away goals 1.185
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.953
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.073
Roda attack strength 0.994
Roda defence strength 1.049
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38