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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Tue 16 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

60%

Helmond Sport

1.68

21%

Draw

4.69

19%

Jong Utrecht

5.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

10.0%

Home win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

3.03

1.04

Jong Utrecht xG

60%
21%
19%
Helmond SportDrawJong Utrecht

1.68

60%

Home win

4.69

21%

Draw

5.23

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

35%

Helmond Sport

2.82

14%

Jong Utrecht

7.33

Win to Nil

21%

Helmond Sport

4.73

3%

Jong Utrecht

38.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 9.6 10.0 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 10.0 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.4 6.6 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.2 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.992
λ Away (xG) 1.036
Total xG 3.028
League avg home goals 1.709
League avg away goals 1.244
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.951
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.060
Jong Utrecht attack strength 0.786
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.225
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43