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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Mon 24 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

56%

Helmond Sport

1.80

20%

Draw

4.89

24%

Jong Ajax

4.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

3 – 1

6.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.18

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

3.56

1.38

Jong Ajax xG

56%
20%
24%
Helmond SportDrawJong Ajax

1.80

56%

Home win

4.89

20%

Draw

4.18

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.50

34%

BTTS No

2.98

Clean Sheet

25%

Helmond Sport

3.99

11%

Jong Ajax

8.84

Win to Nil

14%

Helmond Sport

7.18

3%

Jong Ajax

36.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 3.9 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 6.2 8.6 5.9 2.7 0.9 0.3
2 6.7 9.3 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 4.9 6.8 4.7 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 2.7 3.7 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.179
λ Away (xG) 1.384
Total xG 3.563
League avg home goals 1.718
League avg away goals 1.482
Helmond Sport attack strength 1.031
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.058
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.882
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.229
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54