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Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

43%

Helmond Sport

2.31

24%

Draw

4.14

33%

Cambuur

3.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

3.05

1.41

Cambuur xG

43%
24%
33%
Helmond SportDrawCambuur

2.31

43%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

3.07

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

25%

Helmond Sport

4.08

19%

Cambuur

5.21

Win to Nil

11%

Helmond Sport

9.42

6%

Cambuur

15.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 6.6 4.7 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 7.8 10.9 7.7 3.6 1.3 0.4
2 6.4 9.0 6.3 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 3.5 5.0 3.5 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.5 2.0 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.650
λ Away (xG) 1.405
Total xG 3.055
League avg home goals 1.667
League avg away goals 1.242
Helmond Sport attack strength 1.025
Helmond Sport defence strength 0.959
Cambuur attack strength 1.179
Cambuur defence strength 0.966
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72