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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Final

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

15:30

Venue

Kras Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Willem II Win

31%

FC Volendam

3.19

24%

Draw

4.19

45%

Willem II

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

0 – 1

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

FC Volendam xG

Total xG

3.03

1.67

Willem II xG

31%
24%
45%
FC VolendamDrawWillem II

3.19

31%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

19%

FC Volendam

5.30

26%

Willem II

3.90

Win to Nil

6%

FC Volendam

16.91

11%

Willem II

8.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 8.1 6.7 3.7 1.6 0.5
1 6.6 11.0 9.2 5.1 2.1 0.7
2 4.5 7.5 6.2 3.5 1.4 0.5
3 2.0 3.4 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.360
λ Away (xG) 1.668
Total xG 3.028
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.421
FC Volendam attack strength 1.026
FC Volendam defence strength 0.998
Willem II attack strength 1.175
Willem II defence strength 0.806
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38