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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

15:45

Venue

Kras Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Volendam Win

59%

FC Volendam

1.69

22%

Draw

4.62

19%

Excelsior

5.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

2 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.10

FC Volendam xG

Total xG

3.21

1.12

Excelsior xG

59%
22%
19%
FC VolendamDrawExcelsior

1.69

59%

Home win

4.62

22%

Draw

5.25

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

33%

FC Volendam

3.06

12%

Excelsior

8.13

Win to Nil

19%

FC Volendam

5.15

2%

Excelsior

42.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 4.5 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 8.4 9.4 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.8 9.9 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 6.2 6.9 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 3.2 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.2
5 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.096
λ Away (xG) 1.117
Total xG 3.213
League avg home goals 1.674
League avg away goals 1.242
FC Volendam attack strength 1.413
FC Volendam defence strength 0.800
Excelsior attack strength 1.125
Excelsior defence strength 0.886
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34