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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Tue 21 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Frans Heesen Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC OSS Win

50%

FC OSS

1.99

23%

Draw

4.36

27%

Jong Ajax

3.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

FC OSS xG

Total xG

3.10

1.28

Jong Ajax xG

50%
23%
27%
FC OSSDrawJong Ajax

1.99

50%

Home win

4.36

23%

Draw

3.72

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.65

40%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

28%

FC OSS

3.59

16%

Jong Ajax

6.18

Win to Nil

14%

FC OSS

7.14

4%

Jong Ajax

23.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 5.8 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.2 10.5 6.7 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.6 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.5 5.8 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.1 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.822
λ Away (xG) 1.277
Total xG 3.099
League avg home goals 1.827
League avg away goals 1.372
FC OSS attack strength 0.852
FC OSS defence strength 1.003
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.928
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.170
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49