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FC OSS vs Jong Ajax – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 13 Dec 2024

19:00

Venue

Frans Heesen Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC OSS Win

39%

FC OSS

2.59

28%

Draw

3.63

34%

Jong Ajax

2.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

FC OSS xG

Total xG

2.93

1.41

Jong Ajax xG

39%
28%
34%
FC OSSDrawJong Ajax

2.59

39%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

2.95

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.54

Clean Sheet

24%

FC OSS

4.11

22%

Jong Ajax

4.56

Win to Nil

9%

FC OSS

10.66

7%

Jong Ajax

13.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 7.5 5.3 2.5 0.9 0.3
1 8.1 11.4 8.1 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.1 8.7 6.1 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 3.1 4.4 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.518
λ Away (xG) 1.413
Total xG 2.931
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.406
FC OSS attack strength 0.823
FC OSS defence strength 1.134
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.886
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.195
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56