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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

15:45

Venue

Jan Louwers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Eindhoven Win

49%

FC Eindhoven

2.06

22%

Draw

4.55

29%

Willem II

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.8%

Draw

2 – 2

6.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

FC Eindhoven xG

Total xG

3.57

1.55

Willem II xG

49%
22%
29%
FC EindhovenDrawWillem II

2.06

49%

Home win

4.55

22%

Draw

3.39

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.46

31%

BTTS No

3.18

Clean Sheet

21%

FC Eindhoven

4.70

13%

Willem II

7.54

Win to Nil

10%

FC Eindhoven

9.68

4%

Willem II

25.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 4.4 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.2
1 5.7 8.8 6.8 3.5 1.4 0.4
2 5.8 8.9 6.9 3.6 1.4 0.4
3 3.9 6.0 4.6 2.4 0.9 0.3
4 2.0 3.0 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.020
λ Away (xG) 1.547
Total xG 3.567
League avg home goals 1.725
League avg away goals 1.524
FC Eindhoven attack strength 1.061
FC Eindhoven defence strength 1.126
Willem II attack strength 0.902
Willem II defence strength 1.104
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 21