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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Excelsior Win
69%
1.44
19%
5.36
12%
8.26
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
11.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
9.8%
Home win
2 – 1
9.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.29
Excelsior xG
Total xG
3.15
0.86
Vitesse xG
ExcelsiorDrawVitesse
1.44
69%
Home win
5.36
19%
Draw
8.26
12%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.92
48%
BTTS No
2.09
Clean Sheet
42%
2.36
10%
9.88
Win to Nil
29%
3.41
1%
81.63
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 9.8 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.3 | 9.7 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 8.6 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.291
λ Away (xG)
0.858
Total xG
3.149
League avg home goals
1.653
League avg away goals
1.273
Excelsior attack strength
0.939
Excelsior defence strength
0.683
Vitesse attack strength
0.986
Vitesse defence strength
1.477
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
23 / 23