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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

15:45

Venue

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Excelsior Win

43%

Excelsior

2.34

27%

Draw

3.74

30%

Roda

3.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Excelsior xG

Total xG

2.64

1.19

Roda xG

43%
27%
30%
ExcelsiorDrawRoda

2.34

43%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.28

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

31%

Excelsior

3.28

23%

Roda

4.26

Win to Nil

13%

Excelsior

7.67

7%

Roda

13.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 8.5 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.4 12.3 7.3 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 8.9 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 3.6 4.3 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.450
λ Away (xG) 1.187
Total xG 2.637
League avg home goals 1.654
League avg away goals 1.288
Excelsior attack strength 0.836
Excelsior defence strength 0.867
Roda attack strength 1.063
Roda defence strength 1.048
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 65