Excelsior vs FC Volendam – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Excelsior Win
47%
2.11
24%
4.15
28%
3.51
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.1%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.0%
Home win
1 – 2
6.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.98
Excelsior xG
Total xG
3.50
1.52
FC Volendam xG
ExcelsiorDrawFC Volendam
2.11
47%
Home win
4.15
24%
Draw
3.51
28%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
68%
Over 2.5
1.47
32%
Under 2.5
3.12
46%
Over 3.5
2.17
54%
Under 3.5
1.85
27%
Over 4.5
3.70
73%
Under 4.5
1.37
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
68%
BTTS Yes
1.46
32%
BTTS No
3.17
Clean Sheet
22%
4.56
14%
7.25
Win to Nil
10%
9.61
4%
25.44
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.0 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.0 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.9 | 9.0 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.9 | 5.9 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.981
λ Away (xG)
1.517
Total xG
3.498
League avg home goals
1.543
League avg away goals
1.406
Excelsior attack strength
1.206
Excelsior defence strength
0.857
FC Volendam attack strength
1.259
FC Volendam defence strength
1.065
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
18 / 18