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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Excelsior Win

54%

Excelsior

1.85

28%

Draw

3.63

18%

FC OSS

5.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Excelsior xG

Total xG

2.26

0.76

FC OSS xG

54%
28%
18%
ExcelsiorDrawFC OSS

1.85

54%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

5.45

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

47%

Excelsior

2.14

22%

FC OSS

4.47

Win to Nil

25%

Excelsior

3.96

4%

FC OSS

24.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 8.0 3.0 0.8 0.1
1 15.7 11.9 4.5 1.1 0.2
2 11.7 8.9 3.4 0.9 0.2
3 5.8 4.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
4 2.2 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.497
λ Away (xG) 0.761
Total xG 2.258
League avg home goals 1.646
League avg away goals 1.282
Excelsior attack strength 0.960
Excelsior defence strength 0.853
FC OSS attack strength 0.696
FC OSS defence strength 0.947
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 71