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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

15:45

Venue

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Excelsior Win

41%

Excelsior

2.45

29%

Draw

3.46

30%

Emmen

3.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Excelsior xG

Total xG

2.45

1.12

Emmen xG

41%
29%
30%
ExcelsiorDrawEmmen

2.45

41%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

3.30

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

33%

Excelsior

3.06

26%

Emmen

3.81

Win to Nil

13%

Excelsior

7.48

8%

Emmen

12.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 9.6 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.5 12.8 7.2 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 7.7 8.6 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.4 3.8 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.337
λ Away (xG) 1.117
Total xG 2.454
League avg home goals 1.675
League avg away goals 1.264
Excelsior attack strength 0.948
Excelsior defence strength 0.834
Emmen attack strength 1.060
Emmen defence strength 0.842
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 73