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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Fri 10 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Excelsior Win

47%

Excelsior

2.11

28%

Draw

3.60

25%

Dordrecht

4.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Excelsior xG

Total xG

2.82

1.16

Dordrecht xG

47%
28%
25%
ExcelsiorDrawDordrecht

2.11

47%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

4.02

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

31%

Excelsior

3.18

19%

Dordrecht

5.25

Win to Nil

15%

Excelsior

6.73

5%

Dordrecht

21.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 6.9 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.9 11.5 6.7 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.5 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.5 5.3 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.658
λ Away (xG) 1.158
Total xG 2.816
League avg home goals 1.569
League avg away goals 1.404
Excelsior attack strength 1.047
Excelsior defence strength 0.789
Dordrecht attack strength 1.045
Dordrecht defence strength 1.009
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 58