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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 27 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

De Oude Meerdijk

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Emmen Win

47%

Emmen

2.12

25%

Draw

4.01

28%

Willem II

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Emmen xG

Total xG

3.09

1.32

Willem II xG

47%
25%
28%
EmmenDrawWillem II

2.12

47%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.61

Clean Sheet

27%

Emmen

3.74

17%

Willem II

5.88

Win to Nil

13%

Emmen

7.91

5%

Willem II

21.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 6.0 4.0 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 8.1 10.6 7.0 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.4 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.2 5.6 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.9 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.771
λ Away (xG) 1.319
Total xG 3.090
League avg home goals 1.660
League avg away goals 1.455
Emmen attack strength 1.091
Emmen defence strength 1.024
Willem II attack strength 0.885
Willem II defence strength 0.978
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 28