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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 20 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

De Oude Meerdijk

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Emmen Win

65%

Emmen

1.54

17%

Draw

6.02

19%

Jong PSV U21

5.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 1

7.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

6.9%

Home win

3 – 2

5.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.05

Emmen xG

Total xG

4.74

1.69

Jong PSV U21 xG

65%
17%
19%
EmmenDrawJong PSV U21

1.54

65%

Home win

6.02

17%

Draw

5.37

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

95%

Over 1.5

1.05

5%

Under 1.5

20.00

85%

Over 2.5

1.18

15%

Under 2.5

6.67

70%

Over 3.5

1.43

30%

Under 3.5

3.33

51%

Over 4.5

1.96

49%

Under 4.5

2.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

78%

BTTS Yes

1.28

22%

BTTS No

4.57

Clean Sheet

18%

Emmen

5.41

5%

Jong PSV U21

21.20

Win to Nil

12%

Emmen

8.36

1%

Jong PSV U21

113.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
1 2.7 4.5 3.8 2.1 0.9 0.3
2 4.1 6.9 5.8 3.3 1.4 0.5
3 4.1 7.0 5.9 3.3 1.4 0.5
4 3.2 5.3 4.5 2.5 1.1 0.4
5 1.9 3.3 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.054
λ Away (xG) 1.689
Total xG 4.743
League avg home goals 1.718
League avg away goals 1.483
Emmen attack strength 1.316
Emmen defence strength 1.015
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 1.122
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.351
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 65