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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 28 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

De Oude Meerdijk

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Emmen Win

42%

Emmen

2.36

22%

Draw

4.62

36%

Jong AZ

2.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Emmen xG

Total xG

3.67

1.75

Jong AZ xG

42%
22%
36%
EmmenDrawJong AZ

2.36

42%

Home win

4.62

22%

Draw

2.78

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.42

29%

BTTS No

3.39

Clean Sheet

17%

Emmen

5.78

15%

Jong AZ

6.79

Win to Nil

7%

Emmen

13.64

5%

Jong AZ

18.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 4.5 3.9 2.3 1.0 0.4
1 4.9 8.6 7.5 4.4 1.9 0.7
2 4.7 8.2 7.2 4.2 1.8 0.6
3 3.0 5.2 4.6 2.7 1.2 0.4
4 1.4 2.5 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.915
λ Away (xG) 1.755
Total xG 3.670
League avg home goals 1.726
League avg away goals 1.461
Emmen attack strength 1.163
Emmen defence strength 1.049
Jong AZ attack strength 1.145
Jong AZ defence strength 0.954
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55