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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

De Oude Meerdijk

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Emmen Win

46%

Emmen

2.20

24%

Draw

4.15

30%

Jong AZ

3.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Emmen xG

Total xG

3.03

1.34

Jong AZ xG

46%
24%
30%
EmmenDrawJong AZ

2.20

46%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

3.29

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

26%

Emmen

3.82

18%

Jong AZ

5.41

Win to Nil

12%

Emmen

8.40

6%

Jong AZ

17.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 6.5 4.3 1.9 0.7 0.2
1 8.2 10.9 7.3 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.2 6.2 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 3.9 5.2 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.689
λ Away (xG) 1.341
Total xG 3.030
League avg home goals 1.667
League avg away goals 1.242
Emmen attack strength 1.015
Emmen defence strength 0.944
Jong AZ attack strength 1.144
Jong AZ defence strength 0.998
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72