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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Mon 15 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

M-Scores Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dordrecht Win

61%

Dordrecht

1.65

21%

Draw

4.81

19%

Jong AZ

5.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

2 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.06

Dordrecht xG

Total xG

3.12

1.05

Jong AZ xG

61%
21%
19%
DordrechtDrawJong AZ

1.65

61%

Home win

4.81

21%

Draw

5.35

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

35%

Dordrecht

2.87

13%

Jong AZ

7.85

Win to Nil

21%

Dordrecht

4.74

2%

Jong AZ

41.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 4.7 2.5 0.9 0.2
1 9.1 9.6 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.5 6.8 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 3.3 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.060
λ Away (xG) 1.055
Total xG 3.115
League avg home goals 1.687
League avg away goals 1.249
Dordrecht attack strength 1.082
Dordrecht defence strength 0.861
Jong AZ attack strength 0.981
Jong AZ defence strength 1.129
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43