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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 17 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

M-Scores Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dordrecht Win

53%

Dordrecht

1.88

23%

Draw

4.26

23%

Jong AZ

4.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.00

Dordrecht xG

Total xG

3.27

1.27

Jong AZ xG

53%
23%
23%
DordrechtDrawJong AZ

1.88

53%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

4.29

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

28%

Dordrecht

3.58

14%

Jong AZ

7.37

Win to Nil

15%

Dordrecht

6.72

3%

Jong AZ

31.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 4.8 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 7.6 9.7 6.2 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 9.6 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 5.0 6.4 4.1 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 2.5 3.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.997
λ Away (xG) 1.275
Total xG 3.272
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.399
Dordrecht attack strength 1.318
Dordrecht defence strength 1.062
Jong AZ attack strength 0.858
Jong AZ defence strength 0.981
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59