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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 4 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

M-Scores Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dordrecht Win

72%

Dordrecht

1.38

17%

Draw

5.82

11%

Jong Ajax

9.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.43

Dordrecht xG

Total xG

3.27

0.84

Jong Ajax xG

72%
17%
DordrechtDrawJong Ajax

1.38

72%

Home win

5.82

17%

Draw

9.43

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

43%

Dordrecht

2.31

9%

Jong Ajax

11.39

Win to Nil

31%

Dordrecht

3.20

1%

Jong Ajax

107.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 9.3 7.7 3.2 0.9 0.2
2 11.3 9.4 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 9.1 7.6 3.2 0.9 0.2
4 5.6 4.6 1.9 0.5 0.1
5 2.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.433
λ Away (xG) 0.836
Total xG 3.269
League avg home goals 1.611
League avg away goals 1.302
Dordrecht attack strength 1.296
Dordrecht defence strength 0.826
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.777
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.165
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70