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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

De Vliert

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Den Bosch Win

50%

Den Bosch

1.99

20%

Draw

4.93

30%

Waalwijk

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.5%

Draw

2 – 2

7.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.23

Den Bosch xG

Total xG

3.92

1.69

Waalwijk xG

50%
20%
30%
Den BoschDrawWaalwijk

1.99

50%

Home win

4.93

20%

Draw

3.39

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

75%

Over 2.5

1.33

25%

Under 2.5

4.00

55%

Over 3.5

1.82

45%

Under 3.5

2.22

36%

Over 4.5

2.78

64%

Under 4.5

1.56

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.37

27%

BTTS No

3.68

Clean Sheet

18%

Den Bosch

5.43

11%

Waalwijk

9.28

Win to Nil

9%

Den Bosch

10.82

3%

Waalwijk

31.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0 3.4 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
1 4.4 7.5 6.3 3.6 1.5 0.5
2 4.9 8.3 7.0 4.0 1.7 0.6
3 3.7 6.2 5.2 3.0 1.2 0.4
4 2.0 3.4 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.9 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.228
λ Away (xG) 1.692
Total xG 3.920
League avg home goals 1.733
League avg away goals 1.392
Den Bosch attack strength 1.242
Den Bosch defence strength 1.218
Waalwijk attack strength 0.998
Waalwijk defence strength 1.035
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 9